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  • 1.  Decision Making

    Posted 07-24-2010 18:55
    Dear Colleagues,
     
    I am teaching a org behavior class as an adjunct.
    One of the areas I'd like to cover is around decision making.
    When I was in graduate school many years ago,
    I remember a professor using a few great illustrations to demonstrate bias in decision making.
    Experiencing the effect of decision bias such as framing, sunk costs, overconfidence, or emotions etc. 
    is such a powerful method of teaching the theory. 
    Does anyone have experience in this area or any examples they wouldn't mind sharing?
    Thank you for your help. 
     
    Kind regards,
    Heather R. Graves


  • 2.  Decision Making

    Posted 07-25-2010 02:19

    You could try Plous (1993), which is a textbook, or Thaler's book:

    Plous, S. (1993). The psychology of judgment and decision making. New York: McGraw-Hill.
    Thaler, R. H. (1994). The winner's curse: Paradoxes and anomalies of economic life. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.

    Bård
    Bård Kuvaas, Dr. Oecon/PhD
    Professor of Organizational Psychology
    Department of Leadership and Organization Management
    BI Norwegian School of Management
    Nydalsveien 37, 0484 Oslo, Norway
    Telephone: +47 06600
    Dial direct: + 47 4641 0731
    Telefax: +47 4641 0701
    Home telephone: +47 6301 0478
    E-mail: bard.kuvaas@bi.no
    Home page: http://www.bi.no/en/Research/Academic-homepage/?ansattid=FGL90032



    Heather Reid <heatherreid1022@AOL.COM>
    Sent by: Organizational Behavior Division Listserv <OB@AOMLISTS.PACE.EDU>

    25.07.2010 03:06

    Please respond to
    Organizational Behavior Division Listserv <OB@AOMLISTS.PACE.EDU>

    To
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    Subject
    Re: [OB-LIST] Decision Making





    Dear Colleagues,
     
    I am teaching a org behavior class as an adjunct.
    One of the areas I'd like to cover is around decision making.
    When I was in graduate school many years ago,
    I remember a professor using a few great illustrations to demonstrate bias in decision making.
    Experiencing the effect of decision bias such as framing, sunk costs, overconfidence, or emotions etc.
    is such a powerful method of teaching the theory.
    Does anyone have experience in this area or any examples they wouldn't mind sharing?
    Thank you for your help.  
     
    Kind regards,
    Heather R. Graves


  • 3.  Decision Making

    Posted 07-25-2010 09:30

    Hi Heather,

     

    Changingminds.org is a great reference for simple explanations and examples of psychological theories and phenomena.  For example:

     

     

    Jason R. Pierce

    Organizational Behavior

    <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:placename w:st="on">Kelley</st1:placename> <st1:placename w:st="on">School</st1:placename></st1:place> of Business

    http://mypage.iu.edu/~jrpierce/

    jrpierce@indiana.edu

     

    " To thine own self be true, and it must follow, as the night the day, thou canst not then be false to any man." - Bill S.


    From: Heather Reid [mailto:heatherreid1022@AOL.COM]
    Sent: Saturday, July 24, 2010 6:55 PM
    Subject: Re: Decision Making

     

    Dear Colleagues,

     

    I am teaching a org behavior class as an adjunct.

    One of the areas I'd like to cover is around decision making.

    When I was in graduate school many years ago,

    I remember a professor using a few great illustrations to demonstrate bias in decision making.

    Experiencing the effect of decision bias such as framing, sunk costs, overconfidence, or emotions etc. 

    is such a powerful method of teaching the theory. 

    Does anyone have experience in this area or any examples they wouldn't mind sharing?

    Thank you for your help. 

     

    Kind regards,

    Heather R. Graves



  • 4.  Decision Making

    Posted 07-25-2010 09:35

    Hi Heather,

     

    Changingminds.org is a great reference for simple explanations and examples of psychological theories and phenomena.  For example:

     

    http://changingminds.org/explanations/theories/sunk-cost_effect.htm

     

    Another useful resource is the following text:

     

    Heuristics and biases: The psychology of intuitive judgement.  Edited by Thomas Gilovich, Dale W. Griffin, Daniel Kahneman

     

     

    Hope this helps.

     

    Jason

     

     

    Jason R. Pierce

    Organizational Behavior

    <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:placename w:st="on">Kelley</st1:placename> <st1:placename w:st="on">School</st1:placename></st1:place> of Business

    http://mypage.iu.edu/~jrpierce/

    jrpierce@indiana.edu

     

    " To thine own self be true, and it must follow, as the night the day, thou canst not then be false to any man." - Bill S.


    From: Heather Reid [mailto:heatherreid1022@AOL.COM]
    Sent: Saturday, July 24, 2010 6:55 PM
    Subject: Re: Decision Making

     

    Dear Colleagues,

     

    I am teaching a org behavior class as an adjunct.

    One of the areas I'd like to cover is around decision making.

    When I was in graduate school many years ago,

    I remember a professor using a few great illustrations to demonstrate bias in decision making.

    Experiencing the effect of decision bias such as framing, sunk costs, overconfidence, or emotions etc. 

    is such a powerful method of teaching the theory. 

    Does anyone have experience in this area or any examples they wouldn't mind sharing?

    Thank you for your help. 

     

    Kind regards,

    Heather R. Graves



  • 5.  Decision Making

    Posted 07-25-2010 10:03

    Hi Heather,

     

    I have the students take an online survey a week before the class that has many of the original questions that Kahneman and Tversky used in their studies. Then I show the results in class that show they committed the same biases themselves. It has worked every time (so far, with eleven different classes), with both undergrads and MBA students. You can see the survey at https://catalysttools.washington.edu/webq/survey/mdj3/108768. (The first question about birth month simply separates the survey takers into two groups where questions are framed in different ways. For example, to demonstrate the anchoring bias, half of the students get a high anchor and the other half get a low anchor.)

     

    I'll send you my slide deck offline that shows how I present the results and includes numerous real-world examples of the decision biases in action.

     

    For teaching the confirmation bias, the attached exercise from DevPsy.org has worked pretty well.

     

    Michael D. Johnson

    Assistant Professor, Management and Organization

    Michael G. Foster School of Business

    University of Washington

    354 Mackenzie

    Box 353200

    Seattle, WA, 98195

    (206) 616-2756

    mdj3@uw.edu

     

     

     

    From: Organizational Behavior Division Listserv [mailto:OB@AOMLISTS.PACE.EDU] On Behalf Of Heather Reid
    Sent: Saturday, July 24, 2010 3:55 PM
    To: OB@AOMLISTS.PACE.EDU
    Subject: Re: [OB-LIST] Decision Making

     

    Dear Colleagues,

     

    I am teaching a org behavior class as an adjunct.

    One of the areas I'd like to cover is around decision making.

    When I was in graduate school many years ago,

    I remember a professor using a few great illustrations to demonstrate bias in decision making.

    Experiencing the effect of decision bias such as framing, sunk costs, overconfidence, or emotions etc. 

    is such a powerful method of teaching the theory. 

    Does anyone have experience in this area or any examples they wouldn't mind sharing?

    Thank you for your help. 

     

    Kind regards,

    Heather R. Graves



  • 6.  Decision Making

    Posted 07-25-2010 10:35
    Heather

    Max Bazerman's Judgment in managerial decision making ( last ed 2009? ) may be a good resource.

    Best

    Virginia lasio
    ESPAE-ESPOL
    Guayaquil
    Ecuador

    Mensaje enviado desde mi terminal BlackBerry® de Porta


    From: Heather Reid <heatherreid1022@AOL.COM>
    Sender: Organizational Behavior Division Listserv <OB@AOMLISTS.PACE.EDU>
    Date: Sat, 24 Jul 2010 18:54:54 -0400
    ReplyTo: Organizational Behavior Division Listserv <OB@AOMLISTS.PACE.EDU>
    Subject: Re: [OB-LIST] Decision Making

    Dear Colleagues,
     
    I am teaching a org behavior class as an adjunct.
    One of the areas I'd like to cover is around decision making.
    When I was in graduate school many years ago,
    I remember a professor using a few great illustrations to demonstrate bias in decision making.
    Experiencing the effect of decision bias such as framing, sunk costs, overconfidence, or emotions etc. 
    is such a powerful method of teaching the theory. 
    Does anyone have experience in this area or any examples they wouldn't mind sharing?
    Thank you for your help. 
     
    Kind regards,
    Heather R. Graves


  • 7.  Decision Making

    Posted 07-25-2010 18:36
    If you want to infuse some interesting decision bias from a moral standpoint, the trolley problem results are really interesting which I think tells us something about why good people can do bad things. Josh Greene has some recent data and thoughts on the phenomenon http://www.wjh.harvard.edu/~jgreene/.
     
    Best/

    Bill Becker

    Assistant Professor

    Management Department

    Neeley School of Business
    Texas Christian University

     

    From: Organizational Behavior Division Listserv [OB@AOMLISTS.PACE.EDU] On Behalf Of Heather Reid [heatherreid1022@AOL.COM]
    Sent: Saturday, July 24, 2010 5:54 PM
    To: OB@AOMLISTS.PACE.EDU
    Subject: Re: [OB-LIST] Decision Making

    Dear Colleagues,
     
    I am teaching a org behavior class as an adjunct.
    One of the areas I'd like to cover is around decision making.
    When I was in graduate school many years ago,
    I remember a professor using a few great illustrations to demonstrate bias in decision making.
    Experiencing the effect of decision bias such as framing, sunk costs, overconfidence, or emotions etc. 
    is such a powerful method of teaching the theory. 
    Does anyone have experience in this area or any examples they wouldn't mind sharing?
    Thank you for your help. 
     
    Kind regards,
    Heather R. Graves


  • 8.  Decision Making

    Posted 07-25-2010 19:50
    Hi Heather,

    The HBR article titled "The Hidden Traps in Decision Making" September–October 1998, is a wonderful reference.

    Regards,

    Viraj

    On Sat, Jul 24, 2010 at 5:54 PM, Heather Reid <heatherreid1022@aol.com> wrote:
    Dear Colleagues,
     
    I am teaching a org behavior class as an adjunct.
    One of the areas I'd like to cover is around decision making.
    When I was in graduate school many years ago,
    I remember a professor using a few great illustrations to demonstrate bias in decision making.
    Experiencing the effect of decision bias such as framing, sunk costs, overconfidence, or emotions etc. 
    is such a powerful method of teaching the theory. 
    Does anyone have experience in this area or any examples they wouldn't mind sharing?
    Thank you for your help. 
     
    Kind regards,
    Heather R. Graves



    --
    *********************************************
    Doctoral Student, Management
    Organizational Studies, Strategy, & Change Program,
    College of Business
    Office: 239, Lowder Business Building
    Auburn University
    Auburn, AL  36849
    E-mail: varmavi@auburn.edu


  • 9.  Decision Making

    Posted 08-10-2010 05:06

    Hello Heather,

     

    The recent article below illustrates one instance of the contributions that are emerging from collaborative research among scholars willing to learn from each other, in this case, experts in neuroscience and  cognitive psychology.  There are other recent research projects that are similarly looking at active brain regions while the subject engages in activities we assume to function rationally but it will take some work to integrate them into a course on the subject.  I do find the topic fascinating and wish you success.

     

    Cordially,

    Ernesto M. Reza

     

     

     

    Gain and Loss in Optimistic Versus Pessimistic Brains

    ScienceDaily (Aug. 9, 2010) - Our belief as to whether we will likely succeed or fail at a given task -- and the consequences of winning or losing -- directly affects the levels of neural effort put forth in movement-planning circuits in the human cortex, according to a new brain-imaging study by neuroscientists at the California Institute of Technology (Caltech).


    A paper about the research -- led by Richard A. Andersen, the James G. Boswell Professor of Neuroscience at Caltech -- appears in the August issue of PLoS Biology.

    Research in Andersen's laboratory includes work to understand the neural mechanisms of action planning and decision-making. The lab is working toward the development of implanted neural prosthetic devices that would serve as an interface between severely paralyzed individuals' brain signals and artificial limbs -- allowing their planned actions to control the limbs' movements.

    In particular, Andersen's group focuses on a high-level area of the brain called the posterior parietal cortex (PPC), where sensory stimuli are transformed into movement plans.

    In the current study, Andersen and his colleagues used a functional magnetic resonance imaging scanner to monitor activity in the PPC and other brain areas in subjects who were asked to perform a complex task. Using a trackball, they had to move a cursor to a number of memorized locations on a computer screen, in a predetermined order.

    "The subjects were given 1 second to memorize the sequence, 15 seconds to plan their movements in advance, and then only 10 seconds to finish the task," says Igor Kagan, a senior research fellow in biology in the Andersen lab, and a coauthor of the PLoS Biology paper. "We intentionally made the task hard -- I couldn't do it myself," he says.

    The subjects received monetary compensation for participating in the experiment, with their earnings tied to their performance. The amount of money that would be gained (or lost) varied from trial to trial. In one trial, for example, success might net the participant $5, while failure would cause him to lose $1. In another trial, completing the task correctly would earn $1, while failure would cost $5. Alternatively, success and failure might produce an equivalent gain or loss (say, +$5 versus -$5). The subjects were told the stakes in advance of each trial.

    Prior to receiving their earnings, the subjects reported -- in a post-test questionnaire -- how they perceived their performance. Interestingly, those perceptions did not correlate with their actual performance; individuals in the group who believed they had performed well were just as likely to have performed poorly, and vice versa for individuals in the group who believed they had done badly.

    Furthermore, the researchers found that the pattern of brain activity in the PPC was linked to how well the subjects believed they had done on the tasks -- that is, their subjective perception of their performance, rather than their actual performance -- as well as by the monetary gain or loss they expected from success or failure.

    How hard an individual subject's brain "worked" at the task was dependent upon their personal approach. For example, Andersen says, "subjects who are 'optimists' and believe they are doing well will put out the most effort -- and exhibit an increase in activity in their PPC -- when they expect to earn a larger reward for being successful." Conversely, those individuals who believe they are doing poorly -- the pessimists -- show the most brain activity when there is a higher price for failure.

    "They're trying harder to avoid losses and seem to care less about potential gains," Kagan adds.

    "This study demonstrates that the process of planning and action is influenced by our subjective, but often incorrect, idea of how well we are doing, as well as by the potential gain or loss," Andersen says. The results suggest that the cortical areas involved in planning actions are also likely to be involved in decision-making, and take into account higher-order cognitive as well as subjective factors when deciding among potential actions.

    The paper was also coauthored by former Caltech graduate student Asha Iyer, the first author of the study, now a resident at Mount Sinai Medical School, and former Caltech postdoctoral fellow Axel Lindner, now a group leader at the University of Tübingen. The research was funded by the Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation, the James G. Boswell Foundation, and the National Eye Institute.

     

    Subjects who reported they were "good" at the task (optimists) showed highest brain activity when they expected large gains; subjects who thought they performed "poorly" (pessimists) showed highest brain activity when they tried to avoid large losses. Yellow regions show brain areas with highest motor planning activity; green and red regions depict areas that exhibited the strongest modulation in activity relative to the subjective absolute value. (Credit: Igor Kagan/Caltech)


    Story Source:

    The above story is reprinted (with editorial adaptations by ScienceDaily staff) from materials provided by California Institute of Technology.


    Journal Reference:

    1.      Iyer et al. Motor Preparatory Activity in Posterior Parietal Cortex is Modulated by Subjective Absolute Value. PLoS Biology, 2010; 8 (8): e1000444 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pbio.1000444

     

     

    From: Organizational Behavior Division Listserv [mailto:OB@AOMLISTS.PACE.EDU] On Behalf Of Heather Reid
    Sent: Saturday, July 24, 2010 3:55 PM
    To: OB@AOMLISTS.PACE.EDU
    Subject: Re: [OB-LIST] Decision Making

     

    Dear Colleagues,

     

    I am teaching a org behavior class as an adjunct.

    One of the areas I'd like to cover is around decision making.

    When I was in graduate school many years ago,

    I remember a professor using a few great illustrations to demonstrate bias in decision making.

    Experiencing the effect of decision bias such as framing, sunk costs, overconfidence, or emotions etc. 

    is such a powerful method of teaching the theory. 

    Does anyone have experience in this area or any examples they wouldn't mind sharing?

    Thank you for your help. 

     

    Kind regards,

    Heather R. Graves