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Prediction Study on Unconditional Cash Transfer RCT (+ make money!)

  • 1.  Prediction Study on Unconditional Cash Transfer RCT (+ make money!)

    Posted 14 days ago

    Dear colleagues,

    We are conducting a Randomized Controlled Trial (RCT) on unconditional cash transfers in the United States and would love to find out what you think the results will be.

    The trial involves randomizing ~5,000 low-income individuals in the U.S. to one of three groups: receiving no cash (control), or receiving either $500 or $2,000 as a one-time unconditional transfer. We subsequently measure the effects on participants' financial, psychological, physical health, and cognitive capacity outcomes.

    The survey should take no more than ~5-10 minutes to complete. Here's the link: 


    As a thank you for your participation, we will donate $3 for each response to one of three charities you can choose from. If you want, you can also enter our prediction contest, which will reward the three most accurate predictors with a $100 Amazon gift card. 

    Please feel free to also forward this to anyone who you think might be interested/willing to take the survey. Both non-experts and experts in the field are welcome.

    Many thanks in advance!

    Oliver Hauser (Exeter), Jon Jachimowicz (Harvard), Julian Jamison (Exeter), & Ania Jaroszewicz (Harvard)

    Jon Jachimowicz
    Assistant Professor, Harvard Business School